Monday, June 18, 2012

The China Model, Part 1



Vol.: 06 No. -01 June. 08-2012 (Jestha 26, 2069)

The China Model: Money for Nothing and Chicks for Free?
By Amulya Ratna Tuladhar

“You play the guitar on the M.T.V.
That ain’t working, that’s the way you do it
Money for Nothing and your chicks for free”:  
Dire Straits, 1984: “Money for Nothing”
Dire Straits, a British rock group of the 1980’s, captured the envy of the working men, who “have to move these refrigerators, these color T.V.s. and install microwave ovens” against “them faggots on the M.T.V. who ain’t dumb, own their jets and have chicks for free, playing on the M.T.V. but that ain’t working!”


This envy captures the resentment and grudging respect of the rest of the world at China’s unstoppable economic machine rushing past Japan, morphing into the second largest economy in the world, and shoring up the biggest economy, the US till date, with trillion dollar bank guarantees to cover its crippling debt. According to World Bank, China accounts for 60% of all people of the world lifted out of poverty, about a half a billion, while its rival, India, is still saddled with the largest number of poor people of the world.


While the West has burdened the Earth with global warming from their 300 years of industrial revolution atmospheric pollution, China is the world leader in the scale of its advances in Green economy. According to a commentary on Global Vision for Rio 20 and Beyond, published in the Economic and Political Weekly in October 2011, Mukul Sanwal, a former Special Advisor to the United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change, UNFCCC, secretariat: “a recent comparison of Copenhagen emission pledges concludes that China would contribute over 40% of total abatement by all countries, more than the total abatement by all developed countries combined, and more than 2.5 times the amount of abatement undertaken by the United States and over five times the European Union’s Kyoto commitment.”  China is proving that it is possible to decouple booming economic growth from devastating environmental degradation by investing   $468 billion in key green sectors of the economy by 2015, double the past five years, according to the United Nations Environmental Program, 2011.


Environmental degradation was a necessary price for economic growth in the Western developmental model just like the necessary accessories of Western style multiparty democracy and the hegemony of unelected private sector corporations and non-governmental organizations. But China has already produced three decades of robust State-led growth without the aforementioned, ‘necessary’ accessories. And China’s development has been more successful at poverty reduction of society’s bottom than the models offered by USA and India. In USA, the Occupy Wall Street movement is now sweeping cities to protest the top 1% capturing more wealth than the bottom 99%.  Closer home, the India Shining electoral boosterism of business-backed, rightist Bharatiya Janata Party of India lost to the centrist-leftist coalition that made it plain, NOT TO FORGET the teeming millions still suffering, in poverty.


Are all of these gains only due to the Deng Xiaoping introduced liberalization of the1978s, as the popular think tanks of the West, such as the World Bank, would have us believe? These scholars point to the nearly double digit economic growth since Deng’s correction to Mao’s follies. Mao’s Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution cost 30-70 million ‘indirect’ deaths due to famine, starvation and lost growth and nearly 1 million ‘direct’ deaths due to torture and persecution while the economic growth hovered below 5% a year, much like in Nepal over the last decade of conflict.


However, as Nietzsche declared, ‘all present is the summation of all past’. So Mao’s social engineering is credited with preparing the ideological, economical and physical foundations for Deng’s policies to takeoff.  These include mass social learning: a) that the landed class may no longer rule with their inequitable land holdings, by having their land holdings seized and delivered to the poor masses; b) that the Communist Party of China really does deliver the goods, the land, to the maximum population base, earning their unwavering loyalty even through the trying  social experiments such as the draconian restrictions on rural to urban migration; c) that the so-called intellectual flotsam, the bespectacled urban upper class, needed to go ‘Back to Village’, to learn that they were not more equal than the rural, toiling masses with hands dirty;   d) that every rural household could be transformed to mass, individual, industrial manufacturing units capable of faster relief from poverty than the slow-paced agriculture ; to produce, presto, e) the fundamental building block for transformation into the world’s manufacturing power house.


In a country with the largest population of the world at 1.4 billion now, and even among the four river basins of the world since the dawn of human civilization in: the Yellow River Basin of  China, the Mohenjo-Daro Harappa of the Indus, the Mesopotamian, Euphrates and Tigris of modern day Iraq, and the Nile River Valley of Egypt, around 3000-1500 B.C., mass learning to facilitate extremely large scale social undertakings, unfractured by cultural, geographical, political or other divisiveness, seems to be a unique cultural legacy of China. As early as the 5th century or even earlier, the great human feat of the Great Wall of China, nearly 9000 km long, or ten times the length of Nepal, and supposedly visible from space, was taken on as a gigantic social enterprise spanning centuries and completed around the 16th century Ming dynasty, to protect the prosperous agricultural population from the marauding cavalry of the Mongols and the barbarians from the northwest.


The other important, latter day, mass social learning and undertakings include: a) pauperization inflicted through the millennia by imperial dynasties (the Hsia, Shang, Han, Ming, Qing,to name just a few); b) the humiliating unequal treaties and opium forced onto the Chinese by the cannonading British, in late nineteenth century; c) leading to a mass yearning to throw off  the yokes of imperial overlords of the country and beyond; d) that built the ground work for so-called great leaders of the twentieth century, Sun Yat-sen, Chiang Kai Shek, Mao Zedong, and Deng Xiaoping to emerge; and more recently, e) to push down the country’s population growth rate to 0.57% per year now, less than half of Nepal’s 1.4%, with its 1-child policy.


to be continued...
Amulya is at Kathmandu University
COMMENTS
  • 5/26/2012 9:19:00 AM | Amy Brown, PhD
    Love that song, and absolutely LOVE your writing. It's you! A buoyant, cheery soul delivering a strong voice, calling all to justice, out of a caring, passionate heart.
  • 5/27/2012 5:44:00 PM | Bhanu Bhattarai
    I really enjoyed your writing and would appreciate if you could produce it in Nepali version. Every Nepali people must go through this paper.
  • 6/3/2012 11:50:00 PM | Amulya
    Amy, bhanu, kabin and Milan: Thanks for ur comments and support. A nepali version, after comments on the second part of the article is out. Re Milan's comments on Chinese History on Deng and Ming Dynasty, subtle comment. The national construction projects in the development of nation, in a theoretical sense, can be used to either perpetuate exploitation of the masses by capturing their labor, their surplus, and to consolidate their sense of inevitable servility by religious and cultural discourse of building the power of invincibility of the rulers as god given or unshakeable on one extreme as usually is the case of temples and palaces as is documented closer home in Mahesh Chandra Regmi's book, Thatched Huts and Stucco Palaces or it may build upon more national lever delivery of services such as greater security from large threats of Mongols from the Great Wall and floods from many river training works in Yangtse valley or even the great voyage of Chinese navy to Africa; this is rare and unique of China but there are times of great misturns and great human costs in such historical learning. Re Deng role, the key point i am making, more emphatically in second version of this article, was that Deng's epochal change was epochal ONLY BECAUSE OF Mao's so called and reviled mistakes of the Cultural Revolution, and the Great Leap Forward, the same change at different time without Mao's big mistakes would have petered out like our Consittuion Assembly and Constitution. Despite the great costs in lives and pain by Nepali historical standards, compared to China and many similar historical change. Nepal has to date too litle price to win such a great prize as an equitable society for all jana jati in just 60 years, relatively to USA which did not give such privilege to Blacks for over a century. hope to c more comments, thanks to u all, amulya
  • 6/8/2012 6:17:00 PM | dr. ranjeet baral
    An impressive alternative indeed-u should put in the daily or weekly newspapers in the Nepali language. Keep up the good work Professor. cheers doc
  • 6/9/2012 9:12:00 PM | demonik-biraj
    Screw Occidental gaze and those green with envy at Orientals. The time has come as for the fallen shall rise and sense of 'Ubermansch' is holding true since China not only is surpassing in economy but is painting it green all around!
  • 5/31/2012 4:48:00 AM | Kabin Maharjan
    Sir, Good combination of music, economy, philosophy, human will, and ideology
  • 5/28/2012 8:06:00 PM | Your Name Milan Raj Tuladhar
    What a nice piece of writing by Amulya! I completely agree with him on how an impoverished and humiliated nation who were deprived of a seat in UN for more than two decades, could rise from ashes to become a star. I would just like to comment 2 small points. One, Amulyaji at one point raised some doubt on Deng Xiaoping's role in bringing this epochal change. There is no doubt to that in my view. Even Mao had great hope on him. I can give several instances of that (may be in future discussions). Second, he mentioned Ming dynasty in the list of pauperising emperors. As per my knowledge, that was time of great construction in China. They should be given due credit. My guess is that even our Malla kings must have emulated from them. These additions are just to contribute to your great writing. Hope to read more from you. All the best.
  • 5/28/2012 8:06:00 PM | Your Name Milan Raj Tuladhar
    What a nice piece of writing by Amulya! I completely agree with him on how an impoverished and humiliated nation who were deprived of a seat in UN for more than two decades, could rise from ashes to become a star. I would just like to comment 2 small points. One, Amulyaji at one point raised some doubt on Deng Xiaoping's role in bringing this epochal change. There is no doubt to that in my view. Even Mao had great hope on him. I can give several instances of that (may be in future discussions). Second, he mentioned Ming dynasty in the list of pauperising emperors. As per my knowledge, that was time of great construction in China. They should be given due credit. My guess is that even our Malla kings must have emulated from them. These additions are just to contribute to your great writing. Hope to read more from you. All the best.
POST COMMENT
designed and developed by Tulips Technologies P. Ltd.

The China Model, Part 2



Vol.: 06 No. -01 June. 08-2012 (Jestha 26, 2069)

The China Model: 'All Present Is The Summation Of All Past'
By Amulya Ratna Tuladhar

‘All present is the summation of all past’: Nietzsche, Thus Spake Zarathustra, 1883 


What was considered a major drag on development: high population - or more specifically, high population densities of Chinese, living in river valleys, by many Western scholars, from Malthus down - has been turned around by the Chinese, as the necessary trigger, to release many of the technological innovations and applications that has bettered the lot of humanity, both in China and the world. Indeed, it was Ester Boserup in 1965 who proposed a ‘necessary’ link between increasing population densities and technological innovation. For example, the innovations of State and farmer organizations like flood control, soil and crop management enabled the transition from single crop to multiple crops a year. Multicropping increased China’s carrying capacity to support larger populations. Most of us are aware of China’s innovative and technological contributions to the world like silk, gunpowder, compass, alphabet, paper - much before the Western Europe managed to ‘steal’ some of these from China by way of the Silk Route.




What we do not know, is why China did not go about conquering and colonizing the world like the Europeans did, when China had the tools of colonialism: compass for navigation, gunpowder for war, and ships bigger than any known to Europe? Indeed in 1405, Zheng He, a Muslim eunuch admiral in the Ming dynasty, sailed out with 317 ship armada from China to Arabia and Africa by way of Indonesia, Java, Ceylon and India, in a series of 7 expeditions to explore the world outside China, nearly 100 years before Christopher Columbus ‘discovered’ America in 1492. Zheng’s ships were 32 times larger than Columbus’ Santa Maria, nearly the size of a football field, with 28,000 crew, and separate ships for troops, horses, water, and food supply, enough to subdue any kings and emperors of that time. Zheng brought back nobles of these areas to pay respects to the Chinese emperor, as he brought back exotica like the giraffe. But the fact is that the Chinese did not stay to reign over these new lands, satisfied that their Middle Kingdom, or Zhongguo, as the Chinese call their country, was paradise on Earth and that they had really nothing to gain from other countries of the world, a smug sense of self-sufficiency.




This is a unique Chinese cultural trait: its territorial non-aggression ever since China established its present border in Qing Dynasty (1644-1912). In 1792, the Chinese emperor Qianlong dispatched General Tungthyang with 70,000 troops to stop Nepal from bullying Tibet. These troops ventured as far as Trisuli Betrawati in Nuwakot and reached the cusp of Kathmandu valley in Jitpur Phedi, the home of comedian Madan Krishna, just beyond Balaju, when Kathmandu had only 200 soldiers to defend the valley as Nepal was fighting three simultaneous battles elsewhere. But the Chinese turned back after concluding a treaty, without staying to lord over Nepal. Similar behavior was demonstrated after China defeated India in 1962 and after hostilities and incursion over Vietnam in more recent history. This is unlike the West which stayed put and tried to claim territory which they conquered in wars over the last millennia.




Besides the aforesaid elements of the Chinese model, a relatively little known element is the millennially inscribed institutionalization of meritocracy in Chinese government. Under the influence of Confucius (551-479 B.C.), meritocracy based on standardized tests of such subjects as poetry, history, and Analects of Confucius was instituted in Chinese Civil Service Exam to recruit government bureaucrats based on merit, not ideology, race, caste, or afno manche source-force. China’s two thousand years of meritocracy has successfully kept the Chinese society together and enabled massive social undertakings from the Great Wall to great irrigation and navigational canal systems to support the world’s largest populations, despite empires and political systems that have come and gone.  However, Nepal’s supposed meritocracy has failed to bring all sections of Nepali society together in running the country, and instead engendered the groundswell demand for a more level playing field in the new federal constitution.




What can Nepal get out of the China model? First, it is time to seriously dump the Western and Indian models as non-deliverers of development. Deliveries of social equity, economic justice, poverty relief, environmental harmony, international peace, or the faith of people on the Nation-state over the last 60 years have been lack luster and unsatisfactory for most Nepalese.




Second, it is time to seriously look into what makes China tick, instead of summarily dismissing it, as has been wont, through Western and Indian discursive lenses. What of China model elements can Nepal adopt, a la carte if necessary, to better deliver on the aspirations of the Nepalese people at large?  Faster and tangible, bottoms-up development like the swift Chinese style land to the tiller; not trickle down, phantasmagoric ‘land reform’ that one can never lay one’s finger on, even after half a century of trickle down promises.




The institutionalization of meritocracy that ensures and delivers participation of all sections of Nepali society in running the country as an OUTCOME, not an ‘opportunity’ or slippery promise; instead of overwhelmingly favouring certain groups, as has been the outcome in Nepal.




The need to put up with social pains in social learning with patience; as we say: no pain no gain. Investment in people will pay:  not in waiting for a messiah big neta or political party to deliver, on the idle hopes of harvesting our proximity, to the great economic powerhouses of China and India.




This 2-part article is the result of cogitations in graduate seminars on Population and Development. For details, see http://amulyaratna.blogspot.com/Population and Development.
POST COMMENT
designed and developed by Tulips Technologies P. Ltd.